Foreign Relations, 1969-1976, Volume E-7, Documents on
Released by the Office of the
Historian
Conversation
among President Nixon, the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs
(Kissinger), and the President’s Deputy Assistant for National Security Affairs
(Haig),
Kissinger: As you know on Friday, Yahya
somewhat at our pressure had agreed in effect to accept a Brezhnev
proposal. But then on further thought—
Nixon: He decided not to.
Kissinger: He decided not to, and the Chinese carried
on. I think, frankly, in that case,
rather than accept the Brezhnev proposal, we’d be just
as well off letting nature take its course.
And let them get raped. If they
want to accept it, yes. But I think we
should stay off it then. I think if we
can—a simple ceasefire is really the best we can, at this moment, get out of
it. I think if this thing emerges with
the
Nixon: Oh yeah.
Kissinger: No, no.
I was the one who pressed it, in fact.
What you said to the Agricultural Minister and to, what we said to his—
Nixon: Yeah, yeah. Helms'
report and he examined [unclear].
Kissinger: Uh.
Nixon: [unclear]
Kissinger: Uh, yes.
[10 seconds not declassified]
Nixon: I, I’m referring to—
Kissinger: I know.
Nixon: —the Helms
report—
Kissinger: I know the one.
Nixon: —where, which
would be very helpful here.
Kissinger: I’ve told him to do it.
Nixon: I think we to [need]
make more use of our own PR people to get across our side. [unclear] I think we
have to realize [unclear]. Get across
our point of view. [unclear]
Kissinger: That’s right.
Nixon: We can’t do that. We’ve got to use the elements here.
Kissinger: And the departments.
Nixon: Well, the departments are not very
useful. We’ve got to use them where we
can. But what I meant is within the
White House.
Kissinger: Yeah.
Nixon: That is when we can get the departments to
take on, to carry the lead on something, they ought to
carry it, that’s for damn sure. And they
ought to do more. But I meant on the PR
side of getting it across, as you well know.
It’s an awfully weak reed to say well, you put this out. Now Bush, you can use Bush, for example. Sometimes the department fellow will do very
well, as we know. But I think that here
in the White House [unclear]. But our
point of view is—the Indians have been just loading wires and so forth, what
their view is, making us look bad. Now
the report on Mrs. Gandhi’s Cabinet meeting where she said that, she said
deliberately that they were going to try to conquer West Pakistan, they were
going to move their forces from the East to the West, should have got out. The report, for example, with regard to the
Soviet men, the naval vessels found off the, the
Kissinger: Yeah.
Nixon: Haig looks at this and says it’s, it’s
very interesting how much Soviet [unclear—initiative?] but there hasn’t been
any column.
Kissinger: No.
Nixon: I say that should get out. You can’t do it, Henry, you’re—it’s just hard
talking about—
Kissinger: Well, Roland Evans has a column today with
[unclear]. But still it’s, you’re
right. There’s not enough—
Nixon: [unclear] have gotten out?
Kissinger: It shouldn’t have to be—
Nixon: I think here you’re, you’ve just got to get Scali here. Just
call him in. He likes to talk. Just tell him, and let him go over the
place. He’s a White House horse. He—and I want him now. I don’t think—and that isn’t the most
important of the game, but it does affect certain things for reasons that we’re
aware. It’s rather interesting to note
that Mrs. Gandhi said that, speaking to an Indian youth group, that they have
not rejected the UN General Assembly.
They—you probably didn’t see that.
Kissinger: No.
Nixon: It’s in the other summary . She
says, she said yesterday: "We did not reject the UN General Assembly, but
we have it under very serious consideration." Now why did she say that? She said it for obvious reasons that she
thought that there was some world opinion building against her.
Kissinger: That’s right.
Nixon: Now we’re being goddamn fools to not build
that [unclear] thing against the Indians.
See what I mean?
Kissinger: That’s right.
Nixon: [unclear] So, I’d like to see the Soviet
presence get out. [unclear]
Kissinger: I’ve had last night put a paper together—
Nixon: Helms report—
Kissinger: —of how much—
Nixon: —[unclear]. The world opinion thing is going to affect
the Indians. We’ve just got to get, it’s
got to get out the fact that they’ve been condemned in the press and that they
rejected a majority vote. That’s got to
be said. Get the word to State and
everybody in every statement that
Kissinger: I pulled together what the Soviets
received. What the Communist world sent
to
Nixon: Fine.
Let’s put it out through a European source.
Kissinger: No, that is—
Nixon: Just have Scali put
it out to the whole press corp.
Kissinger: Yeah.
Nixon: That’s the way to do it. Or somebody. You’ve got to get it out. You see, [unclear] others as well. The reason is we’re really not using
people. We’re not bringing them in and
telling them enough about it. So I would
bring them in. That’s a very good
statement to get out. That’s a very good
statement to get out. It must seem more
than a column.
Kissinger: Well, now we have Yahya’s
complete concurrence to our game plan, which is to drop the political tract, to
go in with a—
Nixon: Yeah. Ceasefire.
Kissinger: To go—first to go in with ceasefire and
withdrawal. I called Bhutto yesterday
evening after we talked just for the record, and I said I don’t want to hear
one more word from the Chinese. We are
the ones who have been operating against our public opinion, against our bureaucracy,
at the very edge of legality—
Nixon: That’s right.
Kissinger: And if they want to talk they should move
some troops. Until they’ve done it, we
don’t want to hear one more word. I
really let him have it.
Nixon: [unclear] the Chinese sit there and bullyrag
us. They’ve got to learn, damn
right. Henry, you’re so right about the
Chinese and the Soviets, each for reasons that transcend
Kissinger: That’s right.
Nixon: That doesn’t mean that you [we] can just
thumb our noses at them all the time.
Kissinger: Actually, strangely enough, I think the
Chinese is (sic.) more precarious than the Soviets
because—
Nixon: Yeah.
Kissinger: For the Chinese—I mean these idiots who say
we are doing things to—Braden has an article today blasting you and me. Of course they’ve got the bureaucracy. It’s like
Nixon: Hmm.
Kissinger: The trip as such is a symbol of a
policy. If the Chinese feel we are nice
people, well-meaning, but totally irrelevant to their part of the world, they
lose whatever slight, whatever incentives they have for that opening to
us. The opening to us got the Soviets
under control. This is the—
Nixon: Well, then lying about sacrificing the trip
is [unclear].
Kissinger: Besides—
Nixon: That’s going to be—
Kissinger: Roy Jenkins, I saw Roy Jenkins last night and
he mumbled something like it. I said,
Nixon: Is he British?
Kissinger: Yeah.
Nixon: Is he over here?
Kissinger: Yeah.
He’s a good man. He said, after he talked to me, he said, "We made
one great mistake and that was not to put it out 3 weeks earlier." He says he completely sees the point
now. And he’s an honest guy. Because he didn’t—he opposed his own party on
the Common Market.
Nixon: I’m not concerned about Braden and the rest
mumbling around about who’s responsible for jeopardizing the
Kissinger: I don’t worry.
Nixon: Those bastards are going to do that.
Kissinger: No, I take it as a symptom.
Nixon: That message is very juvenile, kind of
[unclear] because they don’t like the idea of the trip, we know that.
Kissinger: Braden has no brain.
Nixon: Yeah, but he’s taking that from somebody
else.
Kissinger: Exactly, that’s why it’s significant. That’s the only significance it has.
Nixon: The question is whether now I should call in, because I think we got to start playing a better, more
effective game here, the Indian Ambassador this morning. Now, before knocking out such a tough ploy,
to call him in and say, "Look here.
We want to be very understanding.
We noted with interest your rather savage press campaign. I have no objections to that. I understand you’ve got to play [unclear—this
thing out?] But let’s get one thing
very clear. Now, that
Kissinger: I agree.
Nixon: That’s my point. Another point is we’ve got, I think, we’ve
got to get it across. It’s got to be
said. It’s got to be said. I mean you had a backgrounder and that’s a
little blip.
Kissinger: Well, it should have been—
Nixon: It’s the opposite from the way that you
intended.
Kissinger: Well the Post, that was just a deliberate
lie.
Nixon: That’s what’s right here.
Kissinger: I know.
Nobody else played it that way.
Every other leading paper in the country had it on its front page
whether I made—but the fact is to do this sort of operation—
Nixon: Now look, we can talk all about the past.
Kissinger: No, no.
I mean—
Nixon: Right now we’ve got to go to—
Kissinger: No, no.
But it should have been pumped out, day in and day out, from every
spokesman in the Government.
Nixon: I know.
I understand. It should have
been. But we know we have a tough
problem Henry. We’ve known that for a
long time.
Kissinger: That’s right.
Nixon: We went through this time after time before,
and we’re going through it again. But
right now—
Kissinger: We’ll use Scali.
Nixon: Now, picking up the pieces and doing the best
we can. The question is what do we do.
Kissinger: Mr. President—
Nixon: Do we get out [unclear] and check out the
[unclear] put the heat on
Kissinger: I am a little reluctant to shoot the big
gun. To have you call
Nixon: That’s right.
Kissinger: To have the Indian Ambassador in. To give that bitch the satisfaction. If we had the assets there, Mr. President, if
this—
Nixon: Instead of a phone call, let’s make a
statement.
Kissinger: If this were a serious situation like ’57, or
’70, I’d be in favor of brutalizing the son-of-a-bitch. But why let him go around and say that he
looked you in the eye and, you know, this is the problem.
Nixon: What I’m trying to get at is this: it’s my intention to make a public statement
labeling
Kissinger: Oh, yeah.
Nixon: It is a plague on both of your houses, but
that’s true only of
Kissinger: The Indian Foreign Minister has refused to
give an assurance. That they don’t have
any territorial—
Nixon: Ambitions?
Kissinger: Ambitions.
He said "minor rectifications."
Nixon: [unclear]
Kissinger: That means
Nixon: Yeah.
All that you suggest this morning that we just wait and see what we hear
from the Soviet—
Kissinger: No, my recommendation is—
Nixon: Or did you tell Vorontsov
last night? No, you’re going to let him
know at noon.
Kissinger: No, I called Vorontsov
last night and said that if we don’t hear from them this morning, we will go
back to the Security Council.
Nixon: All right.
Kissinger: And I have some suggestions of what you might
do this morning: issue a press statement
from the White House. We’d have to, we’ll have to change it because—
Nixon: We’ll what—give me the general tone.
Kissinger: The general tone is that in view of
Nixon: All right, fine. Now have you checked that with State?
Kissinger: No.
Nixon: Before that?
Kissinger: No.
I’m meeting them at 11:00.
Nixon: Not till then?
Kissinger: Well, I’ll check it earlier.
Nixon: The bastards, all right get them up
early. Get them up at 9:00.
Kissinger: Then we would say, "Having occupied all
of
Nixon: Have they occupied it all?
Kissinger: Virtually all.
Nixon: Did you call Bob?
Kissinger: Not yet.
But—
Nixon: "Having occupied"—
Kissinger: "Virtually all of East Pakistan, India’s
continued military action, action by India can only be viewed as an armed
attack on Pakistan as a whole, and increasingly takes on the character"—
Nixon: All right.
Add one sentence. "If
Kissinger: Yes.
Nixon: "
Kissinger: Absolutely.
Now—
Nixon: Now it is naked aggression, right? If they defy, that’s the point, put on that
basis, see then you’re getting across two points. That the General Assembly has overwhelmingly
voted to ask for—all right put it this way.
You don’t want another thing in there which sounds like it was written
by some State Department pawn. For
example, I would add in the sentence, "The General Assembly on blank, by a
vote of blank, now the Security council by a vote of 11–2 called on [for]
ceasefire and withdrawal."
Kissinger: That’s not binding.
Nixon: I know.
Nothing is binding. "The General Assembly by a vote of blank to blank."
Kissinger: Right.
Nixon: "Called on so and so and so and so.
Kissinger: That’s it.
Nixon: Now, "
Kissinger: That was the next question I wanted to put to
you.
Nixon: "
Kissinger: Supported only by the
Nixon: Supported only by the
Kissinger: Supported by the
Nixon: Supported by the
Kissinger: You’re absolutely—let me do this immediately.
Nixon: Well, we’re going to, you see what I’m
getting at?
Kissinger: I know exactly what you’re getting at and you
are quite right. I asked somebody to draft
it last night.
Nixon: It isn’t bad.
Kissinger: It isn’t good.
Nixon: But it doesn’t, it isn’t that bad
either. What I meant is, it’s what you would expect them to draft in view of what
we’ve been saying about everything else.
[unclear]
Your backgrounder was excellent.
And I, incidentally when I met with those leaders that morning somebody
got the impression that I told the leaders that we were going to
[unclear]. Hell, when I met with those
leaders in the morning I was saying we were going to cut off aid to
Kissinger: You were–
Nixon: No, no.
You weren’t there at the leaders meeting. But I said, "We’re going to cut off aid
to
Kissinger: Yeah.
Nixon: But anyway, what I’m getting at is, now,
having said all this, what purpose does this serve to put out something
labeling
Kissinger: Right.
Nixon: World opinion. Fourth, it helps us with our own domestic situation
here at home, only to the extent that we’re taking a beating. I’m not concerned about it. I guess that isn’t getting through to
people. The sad thing is it isn’t
getting through to people for the wrong reasons. People don’t give a shit whether we’re to
blame—not to blame—because they don’t care if the whole goddamn thing goes down
the cesspool.
Kissinger: That’s right.
Nixon: That’s too bad. But nevertheless, it isn’t hurting us, I can
assure you. Nobody—when you think about
this as a great goal for our foreign policy.
Bull. It’s not in the minds of
the American people. It is in substance,
but not in propaganda.
Kissinger: I agree completely.
Nixon: But the propaganda is important for the four
reasons I’ve just given you. See—
Kissinger: I agree.
Nixon: And we’ve got to start—
Kissinger: Another thing you can do which is just a little—
Nixon: So we won’t call in the Indian Ambassador? [unclear] Why not
Kissinger: I wouldn’t mind having
Nixon: Fine.
Kissinger: It wipes out our attack. It has more punch if you put it. But the advantage of
Nixon: Yeah, shit.
Kissinger: The other one is that you and I were plotting
this in order to preserve the
Nixon: Sure.
Kissinger: Conviction on your side.
Nixon: Oh, everybody knows it.
Kissinger: I mean it’s ridiculous.
Nixon: They already knew we had [unclear]. But they, they’re not going to touch us with
this thing.
Kissinger: No.
Nixon: Because, by God, the country doesn’t give a
shit. That’s the point. That’s what they forget. Vacate it.
But the country doesn’t care about it, Henry.
Kissinger: That’s right.
Nixon: About
Kissinger: That is correct.
Nixon: All right, what’d you have in mind?
Kissinger: Well, you could put something on the hotline
to Brezhnev.
Nixon: All right.
Let’s start with the hotline, the hotline to Brezhnev. [unclear] What about
the British? I think the British, do you want to put a message to them?
Kissinger: They’re too—yeah. I would say we do a hotline to Brezhnev,
which I would like to—
Nixon: You want to work on that?
Kissinger: Work on it a little more.
Nixon: Yeah.
Kissinger: In which we say we are now going back to the
Security Council. We hope to do it
jointly with you. There is still time to
do it jointly. Because
this thing may become public. And
that should sound conciliatory.
Nixon: Yes.
Kissinger: So it should have a few hookers in there.
Nixon: Well, I would say, if I could suggest, I
would say, "Mr. Chairman, we have not—"
Kissinger: His correct title is General Secretary.
Nixon: Mr. Secretary.
Kissinger: General is my word.
Nixon: Yes.
"Mr. Secretary, General Secretary, since we have not a response on
our message to you on so and so, I am sending you this message under urgent
conditions. That we, we are going to
take it to the Security Council again.
If you should determine again to veto it, then we urge you, or whatever
you want to do then." See what I
mean?
Kissinger: Yeah.
Nixon: I’d put it that way, right?
Kissinger: Right.
I wouldn’t say that we are ready to go for ceasefire, because if they
publish that we’d—
Nixon: Yeah.
Kissinger: We’d say, "We’re willing to proceed
along the course outlined to you"—
Nixon: Yeah.
"However we’re willing to proceed." That’s very good, along the course
outlined. But we need to hear. Now what’s the disadvantage of going to the
hotline? It appears that we appear to be
so anxious that maybe they’re about ready to accept it and they say, ah we
won’t do it, and tell us to go to hell.
Kissinger: No.
Nixon: Why?
What’s the advantage of the hotline?
It makes it more urgent to them?
Kissinger: It gives us a public record.
Nixon: The public record doesn’t bother me a
bit. If it makes it more urgent to them,
it’s good.
Kissinger: It makes it more urgent.
Nixon: Has State been talking about a hotline at
all?
Kissinger: No. Also, we can let State in on that.
Nixon: Huh?
Kissinger: We can let State in on that.
Nixon: Oh, sure.
Kissinger: Now with the British, Mr. President, I think
I should talk to Cromer—
Nixon: This morning?
Kissinger: Rather than you talk to
Nixon: All right, do it this morning.
Kissinger: Yeah.
"You’re blowing the whole bloody relationship. You’re going back to the Security
Council,"—
Nixon: That’s right.
Kissinger: And we just—
Nixon: Talk to Cromer and say, "Look, that we,
that the President wants to have some really good talks with them. [unclear] Now look, Cromer, the President recalls that
Heath on one occasion—and
Kissinger: Oh, yeah.
I’ll tell him from me that I just want to [unclear].
Nixon: I would put it in terms of, look, you know the French are going to play their
games. The President wants to work with
Kissinger: I wanted to get this message drafted.
Nixon: Yeah.
Yeah.
Kissinger: And then I’ll come right back.
Nixon: Yeah.
Now let’s go over again what we’re doing in the message. I want to be sure we are doing the right
thing. We have in mind a hotline
message.
Kissinger: The thing is, we’d instruct State to go back
to the Security Council.
Nixon: Instruct State to go back to the Security
Council.
Kissinger: And to do it with a ceasefire and
withdrawal. To
implement the General Assembly thing.
Nixon: Right.
Kissinger: Get it vetoed if necessary.
Nixon: Right.
Kissinger: Then be prepared to get the Pakistanis to
move toward a simple ceasefire.
Nixon: Fine.
Kissinger: It won’t happen till tomorrow. But we’ve got that all lined up.
Nixon: The Assembly won’t meet today?
Kissinger: No. It
will take through today and probably—
Nixon: All right.
Fine.
Kissinger: Then we will get the ceasefire,
we have about a week before this thing plays out because they can’t ship their
armies that fast.
Nixon: Well, the Paks will
last for 2 weeks.
Kissinger: Two weeks.
That’s right.
Nixon: So you got 10 days.
Kissinger: Right.
Nixon: Because they could make it exciting if they
collapse before then. Go ahead.
Kissinger: Then we ask for a, then we try to get the
ceasefire resolution through as a next step.
Nixon: Right.
Right. I
got all that.
Kissinger: Now what do we do
about the public statement. The public
statement is first, the public statement along the lines you indicated.
Nixon: All right, now what is the purpose of the
public statement? The four purposes I
mentioned? Do you think well of the
public statement, or am I talking you into a public statement?
Kissinger: I thought I talked you into a public
statement.
Nixon: Fine.
Kissinger: We have to do—
[unclear exchange]
Kissinger: We have to do a public statement to impress
the Russians, to scare the Indians, to take a position with the Chinese.
Nixon: Chinese.
That’s the main thing.
Kissinger: Mostly with the Chinese.
Nixon: I think that’s first—I’d put—but that’s all
right.
Kissinger: That’s number one.
Nixon: Because after what they said to you, you’d
better do something.
Kissinger: That’s right.
What they said to me. What they
said to Bhutto.
Nixon: All right.
I think we need it.
Kissinger: And—
Nixon: And then to clear up American public opinion.
Kissinger: And to clear up—
Nixon: Well, at least, taking the heat, the argument
of American public opinion. Take it for
a good reason.
Kissinger: We won’t take any more now.
Nixon: Put the heat on the Indians who are the
aggressors.
Kissinger: That’s right.
Nixon: All right.
Let’s let our opponents side with
Kissinger: Frankly it isn’t worth it.
Nixon: It isn’t worth it because he’ll try to water
it down too much.
Kissinger: By the time he gets through explaining it—
Nixon: Yeah.
All right—
Kissinger: I mean we’re again at the Cambodian
situation. We’ve got to go through the
goddamn thing on our own. With whatever, with keeping the logistics to a minimum. And take care of the basic situation.
Nixon: All right.
Fine. I
agree. You call Cromer in later.
Kissinger: I’ll call Cromer in. We’re leaving at 1:00, so I’ve got to do it
well before we—
Nixon: Yeah.
What about the reason for calling Cromer in? I had the idea that there’s good reason to
bluff him. Maybe we can wait on it.
Kissinger: I’ll call him. You shouldn’t talk to him.
Nixon: I understand that. I know.
Is it worth it? Is it worth your
doing it? I think it is. Let’s get the British on salvo.
Kissinger: Oh, yeah.
Nixon: I have other reasons. Even if the British say no, we’re talking to
the British about things that are very, very important.
Kissinger: Plus I—I’m just going to tell him—
Nixon: This is a chance for the
Kissinger: Yeah.
Nixon: That’s a very clever thing to do, right?
Kissinger: Yeah.
I’ve just—
Nixon: Use their influence.
Kissinger: I’d just put it to him very hard. And if I do it very hard it has the added
advantage that they may figure it out.
Nixon: Yeah. Fine. Now then the hotline.
Kissinger: The hotline.
Nixon: We’re going to roll that. Are we being over anxious on the
hotline? No we’re not. Basically all we’re doing is asking for a
reply. We’re not letting the Russians
diddle us along. Point one. Second, all we’re doing is to reiterate what
I said to the Agricultural Minister and what you said to Vorontsov. Right?
Kissinger: Right.
Nixon: Does that sound like a good plan to you?
Kissinger: It’s a typical Nixon plan. I mean it’s bold. You’re putting your chips into the pot
again. But my view is that if we do
nothing, there’s a certainty of a disaster.
Nixon: Yeah.
Kissinger: This way there’s a high possibility of one,
but at least we’re coming off like men.
And that’s helps us with the Chinese.
Nixon: Well, that’s right. That’s right.
That’s right. And if it goes down
the tube now, we’ll have done the best we can.
Kissinger: We’ll have blamed it on the world.
Nixon: What?
Kissinger: If it goes down the tube [it will be] because
we can’t get anyone to support us.
Nixon: Yeah.
Yeah.
Kissinger: By tomorrow, our fleet will be in the
Nixon: Yeah.
Did you see all those Russian tanks, and the Russian ships, and all the
rest lining up with the Indians and not one liberal newspaperman—
Kissinger: [unclear] A people of 500 million people. We are to blame for driving 500 million
people. Why are we to blame? Because we aren’t letting 500 million people
rape 100 million people.
Nixon: That’s right.
That’s right.
Kissinger: That’s the way to keep if—
Nixon: Everybody worried about Danzig
and
Kissinger: If
Nixon: We’re on the wrong side.
Kissinger: That’s right.
Nixon: You know, Henry, the liberals have let
themselves be totally exposed here.
They’re only interested in who’s going to win.
Kissinger: And if these bastards with this high-sounding
morality leak—we don’t even pretend high-sounding morality on some of these
issues, except in the deepest sense of the—
[Omitted here is a portion of the conversation that relates
to
Kissinger: Oh.
The Chinese want to meet on an urgent basis.
Nixon: With you?
Kissinger: Well, of course I can’t—
Nixon: In
Kissinger: No, they want to meet Haig.
Nixon: Oh.
This is the Chinese?
Haig: Huang Hua.
Kissinger: That’s totally unprecedented. They’re going to move. No question, they’re going to move. I had
that impression. They’re not, to them,
the Indians going to the border—
Nixon: Well, this may change our plans a bit. No, it doesn’t change our plans at all. It makes the hotline more urgent, to get the
hotline thing on.
Kissinger: Well, you’ve [Haig]
got to go down there.
Nixon: Or go to
Kissinger: Yeah.
Nixon: Haig, the reason
they sent that to you is that you had told them, Henry, that you’d be out of
town, to see Haig [unclear].
Kissinger: [unclear]
Nixon: I understand.
But my point is they said they wanted to see Al rather than you.
Kissinger: Because they said, in view of my departure,
Huang Hua wants to meet Haig. I told him I’m leaving for the
Nixon: All right, fine. Get up there.
Kissinger: This afternoon. Wait until noon. I think we ought to trigger this anyway. This gives them more [unclear].
Nixon: Trigger what?
Kissinger: What we discussed, the press release.
Nixon: Haig, Al, do you
really think this means they’re going to move?
What else could it be?
Kissinger: No question.
Haig: No I think
[unclear].
Nixon: We may not be able to do it, but we’ve got to
guarantee it. Shit, they lie to us, we
lie to them.
Kissinger: Well, but we have to think that through. If the Soviets move against them, and then we
don’t do anything, we’ll be finished.
Nixon: So what do we do if the Soviets move against
them? Start lobbing nuclear weapons in,
is that what you mean?
Kissinger: Well, if the Soviets move against them in
these conditions and succeed, that will be the final showdown. We have to—and if they succeed, we’ll be
finished. We’ll be through. Because no one then will be—
Nixon: Well—
Kissinger: Then we better call them off. I think we can’t call them off, frankly.
Haig: I think that you
call them off if you don’t give them some assurances. But the price you pay for that [is] almost as
bad as if you—
Kissinger: The thing is, if we call them off, I think
our
Nixon: Sure.
That’s what I think. And our
Kissinger: If the Russians get away with facing down the
Chinese, and if the Indians get away with licking the Pakistanis, what we are
now having is the final, we may be looking right down
the gun barrel.
Haig: It’s the Chinese
view that the Soviets won’t—
Kissinger: It’s the Chinese view, which they expressed
to Bhutto yesterday that the Soviets will back off. I think the Soviets will back off if we face
them.
Nixon: Well, that’s the point. The reason that I suggested that the Chinese
move is they talked about the Soviet divisions on their border and all that
sort of thing. You know that the Soviets
at this point aren’t about to go ripping into that damn mess, having in mind
the fact of their gains from the Indian thing.
Kissinger: Well, we’ve got to trigger this quickly, so
that we are positioned and not at the tail of the Chinese.
Nixon: Sure.
Kissinger: Otherwise, we have no moral basis whatsoever
for supporting the Chinese.
Nixon: Basically, Bhutto asked the Chinese to move
too, didn’t he?
Kissinger: They’re not doing it because of us.
Nixon: That’s what I mean. Let me just get that straight right
away. Why are
the Chinese moving?
Kissinger: The Chinese—
Nixon: I think it’s a good idea.
Kissinger: The Chinese, well, we asked, but that’s not the
reason they’re doing it.
Nixon: The way you put it, Henry, the way you put it
is very different as I understand. You
said, look, we’re doing all these things, why don’t you threaten them. Remember I said, threaten, move a couple of
people.
Kissinger: Well, and I said if you—
Nixon: Look, we have to scare these bastards.
Kissinger: And I said—
Nixon: We can’t scare them, can we?
Kissigner: I said, you’d be,
and I said we will prevent pressures on you from other countries.
Nixon: That’s right.
Kissinger: But it’s immaterial who made them do it. We didn’t make them do it. They are acting for the same reason they
jumped us when we approached the Chinese border in
Nixon: In
Kissinger: It’s exactly, to them—
Nixon: Is that what you think, Al?
Haig: Yes, sir.
Kissinger: It’s exactly the same situation. But leaving aside whether we made them do it
or not, we did not make them do it, my feeling would be the same, Mr.
President, if I had not talked to them on Friday. They don’t move that fast. This has been—
Nixon: [unclear]
Kissinger: Oh, yeah.
This has been building up. My
feeling is, Mr. President, leaving completely aside what we said, if the
outcome of this is that Pakistan is swallowed by India, China is destroyed, defeated,
humiliated by the Soviet Union, it will be a change in the world balance of
power of such magnitude—
Nixon: That’s right.
Kissinger: That the security of the
Nixon: [unclear]
Kissinger: We will have
Nixon: Now, we can really get into the numbers
game. What do you have? You’ve got the Soviet Union with 800 million Chinese,
600 million Indians, the balance of Southeast Asia terrorized, the Japanese
immobile, the Europeans, of course, will suck after them, and the United States
the only one, we have maybe parts of Latin America and who knows.
Kissinger: [unclear]
Nixon: Isn’t that the story?
Kissinger: This is why, Mr. President, you’ll be
alone. And we’ll—
Nixon: That’s fine.
We’ve been alone before. The
point is, Christ almighty, as you remember we sat around here and talked about
the [unclear] the goddamn television programs [unclear]. And even
Kissinger: That’s what we might consider.
Nixon: All right, we’ll do it.
Kissinger: Mr. President, I should stay here and skip
the
Nixon: Huh?
Yeah.
Kissinger: Given what’s coming up it wouldn’t be better
for me to stay here.
Nixon: Right.
Kissinger: What do you think, Al?
Nixon: Well, let’s think a bit. I don’t know.
I don’t know. I think the
communiqués are so good. I mean I’ll end
up making the decision. Al is totally
capable of doing all this. And also
there is something else that is important.
It’s just as well for us not to appear in such an urgent crisis and all
that sort of thing. And the fact that
when something occurs, you can’t leave Washington but I can. You see my point? Now that wouldn’t do.
Kissinger: Yeah, I’ve got to be with you. No question.
Nixon: But look at [unclear].
Kissinger: I know that.
The right answer is you have to make the decision.
Nixon: Yeah.
Kissigner: And nobody else.
Nixon: But Al, you have an idea—
Kissinger: Al was present—
Nixon: And I trust you to make [unclear] before the
end of the day anyway.
Kissinger: Al was present at the other meeting. No you better, you call them back. Set it for what, 4:00?
Nixon: Well, why make it 4:00? I’d go sooner.
Kissinger: Well it should be after these [unclear]. I want Al to be here while we’re doing
that. We’ve got to get this triggered
quickly so that we are positioned. I
mean, this leaves no doubt now what we’ve got to do.
Nixon: Right.
Now let’s come back to this general thing. You say they want to see Al. Tell him they are going to move.
Kissinger: That’s what I’ve been—
Nixon: What they want in the way of assurances, they
maybe want something more direct. Well, let
me see, the Kennedy memorandum of November 5, 1962 [unclear] and that’s what
they’ll think.
Kissinger: They’ll believe you.
Nixon: The point is, the fact of the matter is I’d
put [it] in more Armageddon terms than reserves when I say that the Chinese
move and the Soviets threaten and then we start lobbing nuclear weapons. That isn’t what happens. That isn’t what happens. What happens is we then do have a hotline to
the Soviets and we finally just say now what goes on here?
Kissinger: We don’t have to lob nuclear weapons. We have to go on alert.
Nixon: That’s right.
Kissinger: We have to put forces in. We may have to give them bombing
assistance. I mean—
Nixon: One thing we can do which you forgot, we clean up
Kissinger: We clean up
Nixon: That’s right.
Kissinger: We’ll blockade
Nixon: Well, we’ll say it’s for the purpose of
protecting Americans, and there is great pursuit of a power struggle.
Kissinger: But above all we have to give the Chinese the
sense that if the Russians threaten them—the worst thing, we cannot desert them
then move against Haiphong, because that would then
say the U.S. and China—we’ll pick up North Vietnam in the process of that. I mean,
Nixon: Well, we’re talking about a lot of ifs.
Kissinger: I wouldn’t bet on that, Mr. President.
Nixon: Well, let me put it this way. I have always felt that
Kissinger: Well, Mr. President, the Russians, first of
all, are not rational on
Nixon: [unclear]
Kissinger: Your trip to them was an incident on the road
where they would isolate
Nixon: Well, what are you trying to suggest
here? Are you trying to get to the point
that maybe we tell the Chinese we won’t back them?
Kissinger: No, I think we have to tell them we will back
them.
Nixon: What do you think, Al? You think we should tell them we won’t back
them and discourage them?
Haig: I think they may
premise action on three things. One is
they said the Soviets are cowards. The
Nixon: Do they know that? You told them that, is that right?
Kissinger: No, they said that to Bhutto.
Nixon: If you think they believe that, then they got
the message where nobody else did.
Kissinger: The Chinese respect you.
Nixon: How the hell do they know we stood them down
in
Kissinger: Yeah, I told them that.
Nixon: How about the
Kissinger: Well, because they see what happened. They are
tough customers. When all is said and
done, they know that Syrian tanks pulled back unconditionally.
Nixon: Fine.
Now—
Haig: That’s the
assumption they’re moving on. So they
feel they know that if the
Nixon: So, the way to do this, let me hear how you
Henry [unclear].
Haig: Well, precisely
the same way. We have a terrible
domestic problem in the sense that no one can conceive of the seriousness of
this thing. It hasn’t been
postured.
Nixon: No.
Haig: We’ve got to ease
into that, we can’t just go in—
Kissinger: Plus, you’ve got to do this.
Haig: We have to tell
the Soviets today the direction in which we are moving, and it’s going to up
the ante of concern. [unclear]
Nixon: We up the ante of concern and what else do we
do? Then suppose the Chinese move and
the Soviets threaten, then what do we do?
Haig: Well, we’ve got to
move, I think, beforehand with the Soviets.
Nixon: [unclear]
Haig: That a war would
be unacceptable.
Kissinger: As soon as the Chinese move we have to tell
them that.
Nixon: Yeah.
Kissinger: We can’t tell them before the Chinese move
because it would look like collusion.
Nixon: That’s right.
That’s right. Okay. All right, the message should get off. I think the message is the right tone, but if
you don’t like the tone, tone it down some.
Kissinger: No, now I think we have to strengthen it to
Brezhnev.
Nixon: Yeah, Yeah.
Oh, the message to Brezhnev. I
mean the public statement.
Kissinger: No, let me write it and come right back with
it.
Nixon: Fine.
Anything you want.
[The brief conclusion of the conversation is unclear.]
Source:
Doc 177, vol E7,