Memorandum
from the President's Assistant for National Security Affairs (Kissinger) to
President Nixon/1/
/1/ Source:
National Archives, Nixon Presidential Materials, NSC Files, Box 570, Indo-Pak
War, South Asia, Oct 25-Nov 22, 1971. Confidential. Sent for information. A handwritten note on the memorandum
reads: "The President has seen."
SUBJECT
Indo-Pak Fighting/2/
/2/
Kissinger initially reported on the expanded fighting in
The
Pakistanis today claim in radio broadcasts that
At this
point, we have no independent evidence but it seems apparent that there has
been a major incident. These are the possible explanations for today's
developments:
-The Indians
may be supporting a major guerrilla offensive. If they are following the
pattern of smaller past incidents, their forces would move the Pak forces back
from a very narrow strip of border territory and then let the guerrillas hold
it. Initial reports suggest that this is the least that has happened.
-The Indians
may have begun a joint action that will continue with Indian regular forces
seeking control of a major area rather than one of the smaller border areas
that have been the object of actions over the past few weeks.
-The
Pakistanis might have decided that war was inevitable and could have decided on
the basis of this largest incident to date to charge the Indians now with
having begun it in order to free them for whatever reaction they may feel
necessary.
I held a special WSAG meeting this afternoon and will have another early
Tuesday/3/ morning to consider what we might do to help contain this situation
if at all possible. Much will depend, of course, on what has actually happened
and whether the action spreads.
/3/
November 23.
Source: Document 195, volume XI,